Connect with us

India News

Behind the Numbers: India Has Managed to Contain Covid-19 Deaths Despite Surge in Cases

Published

on

A woman wearing a protective suit is seen inside a hospital that has been constructed to treat patients who test positive for Covid-19 in Mumbai. (REUTERS)

Germany, which was hailed as a model for containment of Covid-19 deaths, has a cases/deaths ratio similar to India.

  • News18.com
  • Last Updated: May 23, 2021, 8:23 AM IST
Advertisement

There has been a recent and significant increase in Covid-19 cases in India. From an average of 3,829 cases in the six days between the May 10 and 15, the number has risen to 5,407 in the last six days between May 16 and 21.

However, this surge is not surprising. Relaxations were eased after Lockdown 2.0, which ended on May 3 and further concessions have been made when lockdown 3.0 ended on May 17. Also, testing has increased and India is moving closer to its peak which is expected sometime in June.

Advertisement

Given these factors, India’s rate of increase in cases hasn’t been even close to as alarming as it could have been. The growth in the number of new infections has still been linear and nowhere close to exponential as was predicted by some experts.

But what continues to surprise is the low number of Covid-19 deaths in India, even as the cases report a surge. According to tracking site worldometers, India hasn’t reached 200 single-day deaths on any day, the maximum being 175 on May 4.

Even as 5000-plus cases were recorded in the last four days, the number of deaths did not exceed 150 on even a single day. The average number of deaths just saw a marginal rise from 109 between May 10 and 15 to 138 between May 16 and 21.

Advertisement

These are low numbers when considered relatively given the ease in the lockdown restrictions and the stage the virus India is in currently.

We compare the average number of cases per death in India to some of the other severely affected countries in the world when they saw their worst surge in cases. Some of these countries (Western Europe and USA) are past their peak while some others like Brazil, Peru and Russia are yet to experience their worst.

India’s cases per death during May 16-21 (its worst period) is 39.18.

Advertisement

What is stunning is the disparity between India and almost all the other countries analysed. USA saw its worst period recording more than 30,000 cases on six consecutive days between April 6 and 11. Its average number of deaths in this period were 2,045. This implied that USA had a cases/death ratio of almost 16 during its worst surge period. The corresponding ratio for UK and Italy is 6.29 and 7.18.

Germany, which was hailed as a model for containment of Covid-19 deaths, has a ratio similar to India (37.27). It is also interesting that while Germany had its worst spike in cases between March 30 and April 4, the average number of deaths were highest only between April 13 to 18 – unlike most other nations where the worst periods for surge in cases and deaths coincided.

It is not surprising to see Russia recording 115 cases per death during its worst phase (May 7-12) – as there is serious under-reporting of deaths from the country.

Advertisement

Controlling the loss of lives has been the real success story for India so far. It has reported 3,600 Covid-19 deaths thus far. Among the 14 nations who have registered at least 70,000 cases, India’s mortality rate (MR) of 3.01% is the fourth-lowest only after Russia, Turkey and Peru. However, there are credible reports of under-reporting from Moscow and Istanbul.

And just for contrast, Brazil has a mortality rate of 6.44%, USA (5.94%), Spain (9.97%), Italy (14.24%), UK (14.36%) and France (15.52%).

Advertisement

India’s tests/death at 755 is second only after Russia. Brazil is recording one death for every 37 tests, France – 49, UK – 86, Italy – 100, USA- 140, Canada – 224 and Germany – 432.

There are many reasons why our mortality rate could be low – a high percentage of young and rural population, the BCG vaccine for tuberculosis, the hot temperature and a milder strain of the virus.

But amongst these there is one definite reason – the early and stringent lockdown. Lockdowns 1 and 2 managed to avert between 1.4 and 2.9 million coronavirus disease (Covid-19) cases and 54,000 deaths, according to government data released by Niti Aayog member Vinod Paul on Friday.

Advertisement

A recent study by the Boston Consulting Group, in which they adopted two approaches for projections, estimated 36 lakh to 70 lakh cases averted, and 1.2 lakh to 2.1 lakh lives saved as a direct consequence of the lockdown. Another estimate by the Public Health Foundation of India stated that 78,000 deaths had been averted.

Covid-19 is a highly contagious disease thus it is not surprising to see a surge in the number of cases in India. But this should not create panic. The only thing which matters in the end is the number of lives lost.






https://pubstack.nw18.com/pubsync/fallback/api/videos/recommended?source=n18english&channels=5d95e6c378c2f2492e2148a2&categories=5d95e6d7340a9e4981b2e10a&query=Why,India,Has,Managed,to,Contain,Covid-19,Deaths,Despite,Recent,Surge,in,Cases,coronavirus,Coronavirus,cases,&publish_min=2021-05-21T08:24:04.000Z&publish_max=2021-05-23T08:24:04.000Z&sort_by=date-relevance&order_by=0&limit=2

Advertisement

(Note: This is a Article Automatically Generated Through Syndication, Here is The Original Source

Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Viral

Video of Isha Arora, Saharanpur Polling Agent Takes the Internet By Storm 

Published

on

Video of Isha Arora, Saharanpur Polling Agent taking the internet by storm 

A video is currently going viral on the internet, showing Saharanpur polling agent Isha Arora doing the rounds in the Gangoh assembly constituency during the Saharanpur Lok Sabha elections. Since then, netizens have been going gaga over her charm and personality.

Meanwhile, many are curious to know more about her. A wide range of memes and reels are also being shared on Twitter and Instagram.

According to social media, Isha Arora is a State Bank of India (SBI) employee, currently employed on polling duty for the Saharanpur Lok Sabha Election 2024 in Madari village of the Gangoh assembly constituency.

Advertisement

Video of Isha Arora dominates the internet

There she serves as the first polling officer at Garhi village’s polling booth. It got to a point that national news agencies were trying to get her on camera.

Many of Isha Arora’s photos and videos are circulating on various social media platforms, generating millions of clicks and views. While talking to ANI, she stated:

“I think that if you get any duty, you should be punctual and that’s the reason I have assumed my duty on time. Every man and woman should be punctual to let the functioning be smooth.” 

On being asked about her election duties, she said:

Advertisement

“I’ll say that people should be punctual and they are, otherwise conducting such big elections wouldn’t have been possible. I didn’t get time to watch it (comments) in the video. It’s election time and it was my duty to come on time hence I was busy. It goes viral due to my punctuality and devotion…” 

Back in 2019, during the Lok Sabha elections, a clerk from the Public Works Department in Lucknow, Reena Dwivedi, gained national media attention because of her beauty. Her pictures in a yellow saree on duty went viral on various social media platforms.

Also Read: Hareem Shah Addresses Trolls After Her MMS Video Leak

Advertisement
Continue Reading

India News

Raj Kundra ED Case Explained: Properties Worth Rs 98 Cr Seized 

Published

on

Raj Kundra ED Case Explained: Properties Worth Rs 98 Cr Seized 

Raj Kundra, the famous businessman and husband of Bollywood actress Shilpa Shetty, has had properties worth Rs. 98 crore seized by the Enforcement Directorate.

The ED has also seized Shilpa Shetty’s Juhu flat. The Mumbai Zonal Office has seized movable and immovable properties worth Rs. 97.79 crore belonging to Raj Kundra (also known as Ripu Sudan Kundra) under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA), 2002, as reported by The Economic Times.

The seized properties include equity shares in Raj Kundra’s name, a residential bungalow situated in Pune, and a flat in Juhu under Shilpa Shetty’s name.

Advertisement

The investigation was initiated by the ED based on multiple FIRs registered by the Delhi Police and Maharashtra Police.

The FIRs were registered against several MLM agents: Mahender Bhardwaj, Simpy Bhardwaj, Vivek Bhardwaj, Ajay Bhardwaj, the late Amit Bhardwaj, and M/s Variable Tech Pte Ltd.

According to News18, allegations prevail that they collected funds worth Rs. 6,600 crore in 2017 in the form of Bitcoins. Moreover, they falsely promised a 10 percent return per month in the form of Bitcoins.

Advertisement

Investors were led to believe they would get higher returns on crypto assets, and the Bitcoins were purportedly taken to be used for Bitcoin mining in Ukraine. However, the promoters cheated the investors.

The promoters concealed the “ill-gotten Bitcoins in obscure online wallets.”

Investigation on Raj Kundra and Other Suspects 

The ED investigation into Raj Kundra revealed that he received 285 Bitcoins from Amit Bhardwaj, the mastermind.

Advertisement

As the deal didn’t materialize, Raj Kundra still possesses 285 Bitcoins, worth Rs. 150 crore at present value, as per Mint.

In this case, Nikhil Mahajan was apprehended on January 1, 2023, Nitin Gaur on December 29, 2023, and Simpy Bhardwaj on December 17, 2023. Currently, all three of them are in judicial custody. 

However, the masterminds, Mahendra Bhardwaj and Ajay Bhardwaj, are yet to be caught. 

Advertisement

Further investigation in the case is under progress.

Also Read: Petition Against Cody Roberts Demands Felony Charges For Killing Wolf

Advertisement
Continue Reading

India News

Karnataka Congress Leader’s Daughter Neha Murdered by Fayaz on College Campus, Suspected Arrested 

Published

on

Karnataka Congress Leader's Daughter Neha Murdered by Fayaz on College Campus, Suspected Arrested 

Neha, 23, was the daughter of Niranjan Hiremath, a Congress Corporator who was brutally stabbed to death. She was murdered inside her college campus in Hubballi, Karnataka by her former classmate.

The accused has been identified as 23-year-old Fayaz Khondunai, who is currently in judicial custody for 14 days.

Neha was studying at BVB College (KLE Technological University) and was in her first year of MCA (Masters of Computer Applications).

Advertisement

This incident was captured by the CCTV cameras installed on the college campus. The footage shows how Neha was repeatedly stabbed by Fayaz with a knife.

The horrific incident took place at 4:30 pm when the victim completed her first semester exams and was returning.

The accused, Fayaz, belongs to Savadatti taluk in Belagavi district. According to reports by Opindia, Neha and Fayaz were friends during their bachelor days.

Advertisement

However, both Neha’s parents and the college management opposed their friendship. Thus, Neha distanced herself from Fayaz.

Police consider that this stabbing incident occurred due to their strained relationship.

For this reason, Neha was asked by her parents not to even attend college.

Advertisement

What Happened To Neha?

Fayaz confronted Neha when she came to appear for first-semester MCA exams. This escalated into a physical brawl in which Fayaz punched and then stabbed her multiple times. Then he left the scene.

However, some students tried their best and handed the culprit to Vidyanagar police.

Neha was immediately sent to the Karnataka Institute of Medical Sciences (KIMS) Hospital by the students and college authorities. However, she was pronounced dead upon arrival.

Advertisement

Also Read: Did Mahua Moitra say “Sex” or “Eggs” In The Viral Video? The Person Who Asked Her Clarified

As per reports by OneIndia, Fayaz had been keeping track of Neha’s whereabouts ever since she rejected his proposal.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending

This will close in 5 seconds